Letter from the experts
Dr. Rajendra Pachauri
Chairman Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
c/o World Meteorological Organization
7bis Avenue de la Paix
C.P. 2300 CH- 1211 Geneva 2,
14 April 2008
Dear Dr. Pachauri and others associated with IPCC
We are writing to you and others associated with the IPCC position – that man’s CO2 is a driver of global warming and climate change – to ask that you now in view of the evidence retract support from the current IPCC position and admit that there is no observational evidence in measured data going back 22,000 years or even millions of years that CO2 levels (whether from man or nature) have driven or are driving world temperatures or climate change.
We ask you and all those whose names are associated with IPCC policy to accept the scientific observations and renounce current IPCC policy. Read it all here
UK Astrophysicist UK
Dr Don Parkes
Prof. Em. Human Ecology
Nobel Peace Prize 1988 (shared)
Article in The Age
Professor Bob Carter, a geologist who studies ancient environments and their climate, and is a science adviser to the Australian Climate Science Coalition writes:
"Wong's climate paper clouded with mistakes."
"The Government's advisory channels are clogged with rent seekers, special pleaders and green activists who have misadvised the minister. Climate Minister Penny Wong published an astonishing green paper in response to what she perceives to be the threat of global warming. The first sentence of the opening section of her paper, entitled "Why we need to act", contains seven scientific errors — almost one error for every two words. Here is the sentence: "Carbon pollution is causing climate change, resulting in higher temperatures, more droughts, rising sea levels and more extreme weather."
"First, the debate is not about carbon, but human carbon dioxide emissions and their potential effect on climate."
"Second, carbon dioxide is not a pollutant but a naturally occurring, beneficial trace gas in the atmosphere."
"Third, that enhanced human carbon dioxide emissions are causing dangerous global warming ("carbon pollution is causing climate change") is an interesting and important hypothesis. Detailed consideration of its truth started with the formation of the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 1988. Since then, Western nations have spent more than $50 billion on research into the matter. Despite all the fulminations of the IPCC, 20 years on, the result has been a failure to identify the human climate signal at global (as opposed to local) level."
"Fourth, the specific claim that carbon dioxide emissions are causing temperature increase is intended to convey the impression that the phase of gentle (and entirely unalarming) global warming that occurred during the late 20th century continues today. Nothing could be further from the truth, in that all official measures of global temperature show that it peaked in 1998 and has been declining since at least 2002. And this in the face of an almost 5% increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide since 1998. Spot the problem?"
"Fifth, sixth and seventh, the statement that human carbon dioxide emissions will cause "more droughts, rising sea levels and more extreme weather" is unbridled nonsense. Such confident predictions are derived from unvalidated, unsuccessful computer models that even their proponents agree cannot predict the future. Rather, a model projection represents just one preferred, virtual reality future out of the many millions of alternatives that could have been generated."
Bob Carter concludes, “It is a matter for national alarm that the Government's advisory channels should be clogged with the rent seekers, special pleaders and green activists who have so obviously misadvised Wong on the content of her green paper on climate change … Time for some due diligence, Minister.”
Read it all here
The Chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has called for more research on climate change sensitivity in light of less that expected warming despite accelerating emissions.
Analysis of soon to be released by the American Meteorological Society concludes:
“… only 0.5 degrees centigrade of man-made warming by the year 2100 and warming over the last century cannot be explained by human greenhouse gas emission alone but instead might require a mostly natural explanation.’
The Proposed Road Ahead
Weds 29 July 2008: Opposition will decide Policy
Weds 3 Sept 2008: Final Garnaut report due
October 2008: Treasury modeling release
December 2008: Release of exposure draft of legislative package
January 2009: Government to set indicative targets mid-term
March 2009: New legislation
July 2010: Proposed ETS start
2013: Petrol excise cut stops
2015: Agriculture to be included
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Letter from the experts